13 June 2011

We’re all...just little bits of history repeating
Significance Magazine - UK

In May 2011 the United Nations Population Division released “The 2010 Revision” of its world population estimates and projections. The headline story was that the projection was up greatly on the previous medium variant estimate. We were now projected to number 10.1 billion within the next ninety years, 9.3 billion by 2050. The Division’s press release came with a health warning “Small variations in fertility can produce major differences in the size of populations over the long run. The high projection variant, whose fertility is just half a child above that in the medium variant, produces a world population of 10.6 billion in 2050 and 15.8 billion in 2100. The low variant, whose fertility remains half a child below that of the medium, produces a population that reaches 8.1 billion in 2050 and declines towards the second half of this century to reach 6.2 billion in 2100.”,…(13 June 2011)

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