20 June 2011

The great shift from farm to city
Los Angeles Times - USA
This will be matched by an almost as dramatic decline in rural population. The United Nations Population Division predicts that the population of the world's villages and rural areas will stop growing around eight years from now and that, by 2050, the rural population will have fallen by 600 million due to migration to cities and urban encroachment on villages.(19 June 2011)
Population growth spurs surge to Asia's cities
Channel News Asia - Singapore
Somewhere in the world -- Asia would be a good bet -- a pregnant woman is carrying a baby destined to be the planet's seven billionth human being. The historic baby is due to be born on October 31, the United Nations Population Division predicts. Bookmakers have made Asia the hot favourite for the symbolic arrival, possibly for no better reason than that the sun rises in the east, giving Asian mothers a head start,…(20 June 2011)

15 June 2011

A world of 10 billion
Macleans - Canada

With fertility levels slipping in many parts of the world, it will take an estimated 14 years, from 2011 to 2025, for the world to add its eight-billionth person, and another 18 years to add its ninth. Adding number 10 billion won’t happen until 2083, a full 40 years after the nine billionth is born. These forecasts are based on the UN Population Division’s “medium-variant” scenarios, which are considered the most likely to come to pass. ... (15 June 2011)
Textiles for Humankind
Textile World - USA
In the recently published "2010 Revision of World Population Prospects," the Population Division of the United Nations (UN) Department of Economic and Social Affairs estimates that the global population will reach 9.3 billion in 2050 and 10.1 billion in 2100. In a previous report published in 2008, the UN estimated the global population would reach up to 9.15 billion people in 2050. (...) These somewhat theoretical figures seem to point to big opportunities for new textile business outside the fashion sector. However, as noted by investment banker Martin O. Hutchinson, a contributing editor to the Money Map Report and Money Morning: "[T]his explosive population growth figures to be a disaster from a global-resources standpoint - and for two very good reasons. "First, if we want all 10.1 billion people [in 2100] to enjoy a standard of living that's essentially on par with us here in the West (meaning they all have automobiles, washing machines, refrigerator/freezers, and all the rest of the latest electronic gadgets), the consumer demand will put an impossible strain on global resources - and if the global-warming theory proves accurate, will heat our planet up like a meatball in a wok. "Second, the vast majority of these new people will be in very poor countries, many of which are already stretched in terms of water, food and other resources."
In this scenario, recycling becomes a simple matter of surviving; and recycled fiber material is an excellent raw material for all kinds of industrial textiles products such as geotextiles and many more. ,…(14 June 2011)
Pacific population reaches 10m
Islands Business - Fiji
The 2010 Revision of World Population Prospects, prepared by the Population Division at the UN’s Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), shows that a small variation in fertility could lead to major long-term differences in the size of the global population. Based on the medium projection, the number of people in the world—currently close to 7 billion—should pass 8 billion in 2023, 9 billion by 2041 and then 10 billion at some point after 2081.…(15 June 2011)

13 June 2011

We’re all...just little bits of history repeating
Significance Magazine - UK

In May 2011 the United Nations Population Division released “The 2010 Revision” of its world population estimates and projections. The headline story was that the projection was up greatly on the previous medium variant estimate. We were now projected to number 10.1 billion within the next ninety years, 9.3 billion by 2050. The Division’s press release came with a health warning “Small variations in fertility can produce major differences in the size of populations over the long run. The high projection variant, whose fertility is just half a child above that in the medium variant, produces a world population of 10.6 billion in 2050 and 15.8 billion in 2100. The low variant, whose fertility remains half a child below that of the medium, produces a population that reaches 8.1 billion in 2050 and declines towards the second half of this century to reach 6.2 billion in 2100.”,…(13 June 2011)